Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.211185 0.239933 0.270742 0.306166 0.345722 0.388482 0.438153
2026-01-25 0.176008 0.215190 0.259943 0.314664 0.379578 0.453928 0.545327
2026-02-01 0.146301 0.190785 0.244502 0.313759 0.400262 0.504278 0.638319
2026-02-08 0.123742 0.171054 0.231111 0.312278 0.418352 0.551419 0.730007
2026-02-15 0.106212 0.154886 0.219550 0.310742 0.434845 0.596480 0.821299
2026-02-22 0.095056 0.145491 0.215295 0.317544 0.461769 0.655899 0.934455
2026-03-01 0.083813 0.134336 0.207030 0.317382 0.478328 0.701673 1.031467
2026-03-08 0.074575 0.124838 0.199841 0.317543 0.494594 0.747264 1.130247
2026-03-15 0.066933 0.116758 0.193704 0.318273 0.511116 0.793541 1.232048
2026-03-22 0.061349 0.111218 0.190732 0.323215 0.533797 0.849581 1.350721
2026-03-29 0.057124 0.107376 0.189931 0.331214 0.561334 0.914006 1.485013
2026-04-05 0.052422 0.102136 0.186252 0.334039 0.580558 0.966428 1.603405
2026-04-12 0.048526 0.098039 0.184345 0.340020 0.605938 1.030983 1.746180
2026-04-19 0.045523 0.095224 0.184343 0.349151 0.637037 1.106331 1.910218
2026-04-26 0.041301 0.089592 0.178781 0.348040 0.650609 1.153894 2.031924
2026-05-03 0.037479 0.084268 0.173222 0.346347 0.662840 1.199648 2.152783
2026-05-10 0.034081 0.079372 0.167950 0.344625 0.674684 1.245112 2.275189
2026-05-17 0.032106 0.077191 0.167645 0.352071 0.703339 1.320633 2.452132
2026-05-24 0.029484 0.073294 0.163567 0.351882 0.717809 1.372023 2.589770
2026-05-31 0.027159 0.069764 0.159867 0.352051 0.732801 1.424891 2.732296
2026-06-07 0.025117 0.066619 0.156646 0.352849 0.748897 1.480366 2.881855
2026-06-14 0.023661 0.064669 0.155753 0.358271 0.774192 1.553728 3.066852
2026-06-21 0.022591 0.063519 0.156469 0.367046 0.806551 1.641618 3.282193